Congrats! your greaseing has saved the planet!

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Tom Yaz's picture
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Good Job! CO2 has been sequestered! Its freaking cold now!

From UK "Daily Telegraph"

"Looking back over my columns of the past 12 months, one of their major themes was neatly encapsulated by two recent items from The Daily Telegraph.

The first, on May 21, headed "Climate change threat to Alpine ski resorts" , reported that the entire Alpine "winter sports industry" could soon "grind to a halt for lack of snow". The second, on December 19, headed "The Alps have best snow conditions in a generation" , reported that this winter's Alpine snowfalls "look set to beat all records by New Year's Day". "

*******

And the ice free North Pole we were supposed to have this summer (remember that?) DIDNT HAPPEN!

Good Job Y'all, Keep on Greasin!

Link http://www.telegraph.co.uk/comment/columnists/christopherbooker/3982101/...

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....all men are created equal, that they are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable rights, that among these are life....

RedRyan66's picture
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Wake up Tom. Overall, things are warming up. When we see
video of seas that are usually frozen, and now they aren't, that alone should cause concern.

--------------------------
1984 MB 300 SD Turbo

ghostofadam's picture
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All I can say is that it took 3 days of higher than usal temps and 20 mm of rain to melt record snows in the GTA. The NW passage is is navigable now.

Since you like your news from the UK:
http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2007/aug/28/climatechange.internat...

your post is just argumentative.

Chase's picture
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Tom,

Did you miss this when I posted it before?

Arctic continues to melt fast

And I guess you missed all the press about this:

Northwest Passage open for the first time

and here:

More on that now open Northwest Passage

I'm all for rational debate, but regurgitating patently false claims and discredited nonsense disqualifies you from such.

Here's something I have been searching for but have failed to find: A valid climate model which takes human activity into account and shows no warming as a result. So basically, the scientists who disagree with the idea of AGW seem to have failed to come up with a computer model which takes the inarguable amount of C02 we pump out and shows no warming as a result. If you can link to one, please do, as that will certainly put some question into my mind.

-------------------------
2005 VW Golf PD-TDI

Tom Yaz's picture
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"analysts at the Canadian Ice Service and the U.S. National Ice Centre confirm that the passage is almost completely clear and that the region is more open than it has ever been since the advent of routine monitoring in 1972."

More open since 1972? If one was to say "since 1412", then I would be concerned... In other words it has not been monitored log enough to determine if this is an anomoly..

When they figre out why tropical plants remains were found
in Antartica then they can get back to me..

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....all men are created equal, that they are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable rights, that among these are life....

ghostofadam's picture
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Tom is feeling bad about himself today and that is why he is being argumentative and cranky.

Maybe we should all let him have this one I think he needs the boost.

OK Tom, You are right. Now don't you feel better now? ;)

http://climateprogress.org/2008/11/29/1st-commercial-ship-sails-through-...

http://www.mfb-geo.com/spip.php?article174

Chase's picture
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Quote:
Originally posted by: Tom Yaz
"analysts at the Canadian Ice Service and the U.S. National Ice Centre confirm that the passage is almost completely clear and that the region is more open than it has ever been since the advent of routine monitoring in 1972."

More open since 1972? If one was to say "since 1412", then I would be concerned... In other words it has not been monitored log enough to determine if this is an anomoly..

When they figre out why tropical plants remains were found
in Antartica then they can get back to me..

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....all men are created equal, that they are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable rights, that among these are life....
But Tom, the NW Passage has been sought for centuries and it was always blocked by ice. Better yet, native peoples of the region have at least some sort of oral history which points to it having been blocked for centuries, if not millennium further. Please, you know better than that.

As for the plant remains in Antarctica, there is such a thing as continental drift, and climate changes over many millions of years. The arctic was also an arboreal rain forest millions of years ago. What's your point?

Look, the whole idea is not that the climate does not change on its own, its that we are influencing it to change on a time scale that is compressed many orders of magnitude over the normal fluctuations. Why is that so hard to wrap your head around? We know that sudden events like volcanoes, methane burps, and asteroid hits can change the climate very quickly. Why is it such a stretch to accept that over the past 100 years we have also become one of those "sudden" events, in geological terms anyway?

Sheesh, man, you really should step back from the edge and just look at things through a more logical eye. Information is power. The more information, the better choices we can make to mitigate risk. That's just existence 101.

But still, Tom, please point me to a computer model from a climate scientist or someone of equal standing which shows no warming from the known amount of C02 mankind has put out over the past century. That's all I need.

-------------------------
2005 VW Golf PD-TDI

Tom Yaz's picture
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Au Contrair Ghost, I feel GREEAAAT!! (with apologies to Tony the Tiger) Had a great Christ-mas, how about you?

I my Christmas fun, I was clearing some brambles in the logged stand of (former) trees and found five nice black cherry saplings..I cleaned up around them and they are
going bring some fine $$ when they are logged many moons
from now! Also looked at an outcropping of trees
on the other side of the property and discovered they are full
of 8"-12" dia red oaks. Planted so close together that they form very long poles..I have never seen such long tall oaks..Need to thin them out to let them "fatten" will make some nice timber dollars on those too, maybe in my lifetime..I really do like timber management.

Oh as for GW, I go with Occams razor...IF the planet is warming (BIG IF) I reckon its the Sun doing it...

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....all men are created equal, that they are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable rights, that among these are life....

GenChowFord's picture
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"The simple meteorological facts are that the melt happens every year. In the spring and summer some of
the ice melts and in the fall and winter it reforms again. This year, however, more ice melted than had ever
melted since the pole has been under satellite observation. But that satellite surveillance only began around
1976.
While we didn't have satellites to record it, we know from historical accounts that more of the ice of the Arctic
melted on at least two previous occasions. One of those is medieval warm period when much of Greenland
was ice-free and the Vikings settled there and established successful farms. But, as that warm era ended, the ice
spread again to the coast of Greenland and the farms were abandoned. There is also evidence of a
dramatic warm period on the northern perimeter of Canada, where as the ice retreated during a recent summer,
an array of hundreds of large tree stumps was revealed. Investigation indicated that a forest of giant redwoods
once stood there. Neither of these Arctic warm spells and the ice melt of those ancient times can be attributed
to mankind and our fossil fuels. They stand as solid evidence that natural climate change has continued on
planet Earth throughout its history.
A report published online by World Climate Report for the science and public policity institute says there exist
historic observations, as well as currently active research efforts, that strongly indicate that there was a large
sea-ice extent decline from about the mid-1920s to the mid-1940s. Writing in 1953, arctic researcher Hans
Ahlmann noted that ?The extent of drift ice in Arctic waters has also diminished considerably in the last
decades. According to information received in the U.S.S.R. in 1945, the area of drift ice in the Russian sector of
the Arctic was reduced by no less than 1,000,000 square kilometers between 1924 and 1944.?
It is clear that Al Gore's Arctic Ice chart, like the infamous hockey stick temperature chart, is flagrantly
inaccurate."

John Coleman

Tom Yaz's picture
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"But still, Tom, please point me to a computer model from a climate scientist or someone of equal standing which shows no warming from the known amount of C02 mankind has put out over the past century. That's all I need."

I would never base my "religion" on some program that in no way can duplicate the multitude of terrestial and extra terrestrial conditions, written by programmers using a host of assumptions, spec'd by users who are pre-disposed to wanting a specific outcome. (By the way I am a programmer myself)

There is no "consensus " on global warming as to wether it is even happening, yet alone is it man-made. So to leap to the man-made conclusion is a bit arrogant IMHO and hides other motivations.

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....all men are created equal, that they are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable rights, that among these are life....

ghostofadam's picture
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Quote:
Originally posted by: GenChowFord
"The simple meteorological facts are that the melt happens every year. In the spring and summer some of
the ice melts and in the fall and winter it reforms again. This year, however, more ice melted than had ever
melted since the pole has been under satellite observation. But that satellite surveillance only began around
1976.
While we didn't have satellites to record it, we know from historical accounts that more of the ice of the Arctic
melted on at least two previous occasions. One of those is medieval warm period when much of Greenland
was ice-free and the Vikings settled there and established successful farms. But, as that warm era ended, the ice
spread again to the coast of Greenland and the farms were abandoned. There is also evidence of a
dramatic warm period on the northern perimeter of Canada, where as the ice retreated during a recent summer,
an array of hundreds of large tree stumps was revealed. Investigation indicated that a forest of giant redwoods
once stood there. Neither of these Arctic warm spells and the ice melt of those ancient times can be attributed
to mankind and our fossil fuels. They stand as solid evidence that natural climate change has continued on
planet Earth throughout its history.
A report published online by World Climate Report for the science and public policity institute says there exist
historic observations, as well as currently active research efforts, that strongly indicate that there was a large
sea-ice extent decline from about the mid-1920s to the mid-1940s. Writing in 1953, arctic researcher Hans
Ahlmann noted that ?The extent of drift ice in Arctic waters has also diminished considerably in the last
decades. According to information received in the U.S.S.R. in 1945, the area of drift ice in the Russian sector of
the Arctic was reduced by no less than 1,000,000 square kilometers between 1924 and 1944.?
It is clear that Al Gore's Arctic Ice chart, like the infamous hockey stick temperature chart, is flagrantly
inaccurate."

John Coleman
You are still around? remember I'm a "FAG" and you "don't want to argue with fags"

If you are going to post quotes from another website please provide the link from which it came.

Well, since the NW-passage was discovered it has never been passable by merchant ships. Only a few fortified ships (Ice breakers) and canoes ever made it through.

So with a the absence of satellite data we do have data that tells us the NW-passage was clogged with ice. Look up "William Edward Parry"

Where is this data from the U.S.S.R. I'm from Missouri "Show Me!"

Chase's picture
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Tom, what religion are you talking about? I'm not talking about religion, I'm talking about sentient humans doing their best to understand their environment so as to survive and prosper. Basically, what humans have done forever. So I myself am still looking for information, which many claim is out there, yet nobody can produce.

So on one hand there are many very smart people producing data and ever more detailed computer models which show human activity as effecting our climate. On the other hand there are people claiming that humans cannot have such an impact, yet they cannot produce any kind of data, computer modeling, or hypothesis of any merit to back that up. What am I supposed to do? What would any sentient human do?

Science has very strict rules. Come up with a hypothesis, then prove it using scientific method and peer review. All I want to see is that scientific method applied with a result showing human activity not having an impact on the climate. That is as far from religion as you can get. Why can I not get this?

-------------------------
2005 VW Golf PD-TDI

ghostofadam's picture
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Quote:
Originally posted by: Tom Yaz
"But still, Tom, please point me to a computer model from a climate scientist or someone of equal standing which shows no warming from the known amount of C02 mankind has put out over the past century. That's all I need."

I would never base my "religion" on some program that in no way can duplicate the multitude of terrestial and extra terrestrial conditions, written by programmers using a host of assumptions, spec'd by users who are pre-disposed to wanting a specific outcome. (By the way I am a programmer myself)

There is no "consensus " on global warming as to wether it is even happening, yet alone is it man-made. So to leap to the man-made conclusion is a bit arrogant IMHO and hides other motivations.

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....all men are created equal, that they are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable rights, that among these are life....
OK so if by chance their is global warming and it is man made. (more than one scientist is telling us the sky is falling) Would it be better to continue to denie the issue and do nothing, or do something and continue to question?

I have 25 Black walnut trees in Bucks county PA that are about 7 years old now. My son will be making a few bucks some time after college.

Did you plant any trees? because I cant see any "Tree management" in your post. LOL

ghostofadam's picture
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Chase, Tom is an RC fundamentalist,

Say 2 hail marry and that murder is forgiven. you know, no accountability just repent. gods will and all. (God made us warm the globe so it must be good)

Sorry Tommy, but you brought it up.

Tom Yaz's picture
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"So on one hand there are many very smart people producing data and ever more detailed computer models which show human activity as effecting our climate. On the other hand there are people claiming that humans cannot have such an impact, yet they cannot produce any kind of data, computer modeling, or hypothesis of any merit to back that up. What am I supposed to do? What would any sentient human do? "

I think you realize that me calling GW a "religion" was tongue in cheek..

There is PLENTY of documentation out there that rebuts the GW theory if one chooses to look for it. And plenty of credible scientist who do as well. I do find it kinda funny that this past year the temperatures have dropped and we are having a worldwide cold spell in spite of GW. And yet these supposedly awesome computer models couldnt predict it; All they showed was everything getting warmer. Thats just another thing that make you go hmm...

As for trees, I plan on planting some sugar maples and red oaks in the spring...

And Ghost, Smile; God Loves You!...

-------------------------
....all men are created equal, that they are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable rights, that among these are life....

Chase's picture
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I choose to look for it, but I cannot find it. I don't want theories and suppositions, I want peer reviewed science. Even then, all I'm asking for is someone to point me towards a climate model which factors in human activity and shows no warming. That's all I want, and so far it seems not to exist. Without that, all I see is people casting aspersions, nothing more.

As for this year being cold, stop already! Its so infantile, with all due respect. Peaks and valleys is what the plot line has always shown. What counts is the general trend. Daily weather and global climate are two TOTALLY DIFFERENT THINGS. Why is this so hard to comprehend? There is no debate as to "if" the planet is warming, simply "why". If you can't at least meet me at that point, there's probably no point in continuing this discussion.

And finally, to address your feeling that assuming humans can have an impact on the climate is arrogant, I counter with: thinking humans can act on a global scale with no impact upon the climate is the height of hubris and ignorance. I can prove it to you: CFC ban due to destruction of the ozone layer. Talk about a gigantic impact upon our atmosphere with but a few decades of using CFCs. See? I just proved it to you. Can we let that issue die now?

-------------------------
2005 VW Golf PD-TDI

Tom Yaz's picture
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I find it strange you are only looking for a computer "model"..

Broaden your horizons. There is a lot of of hard data out

there to dispute what is ginned up by a program..

Here is a link that talks about the flaws of computer "models"

http://xtronics.com/reference/globalwarming.htm

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....all men are created equal, that they are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable rights, that among these are life....

81SD's picture
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Quote:
Originally posted by: Chase
I choose to look for it, but I cannot find it. I don't want theories and suppositions, I want peer reviewed science. Even then, all I'm asking for is someone to point me towards a climate model which factors in human activity and shows no warming. That's all I want, and so far it seems not to exist. Without that, all I see is people casting aspersions, nothing more.

As for this year being cold, stop already! Its so infantile, with all due respect. Peaks and valleys is what the plot line has always shown. What counts is the general trend. Daily weather and global climate are two TOTALLY DIFFERENT THINGS. Why is this so hard to comprehend? There is no debate as to "if" the planet is warming, simply "why". If you can't at least meet me at that point, there's probably no point in continuing this discussion.

And finally, to address your feeling that assuming humans can have an impact on the climate is arrogant, I counter with: thinking humans can act on a global scale with no impact upon the climate is the height of hubris and ignorance. I can prove it to you: CFC ban due to destruction of the ozone layer. Talk about a gigantic impact upon our atmosphere with but a few decades of using CFCs. See? I just proved it to you. Can we let that issue die now?

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2005 VW Golf PD-TDI
And yet the ozone hole closed up and the disaster was averted... Was that because we stopped using aerosols and R-12 refrigerants? Or - was it something else?

Climate is weather over time. We've had ~ 10 years of cooling weather - how many more before you consider it "climate"? I think that until we get you to commit to a fixed number there, there isn't much point in discussing much - you are too much of a religious zealot in this topic!

Computer models are only as good as they assumptions they are based on. It's not surprising that they bias of the observers is factored in and show drastic changes that don't materialize in reality. Global Warming is all about making people feel guilty and creating a new system to tax them with to assauge their guilt. If anyone was serious about a real impending catastrophe regarding temperature increases, the mandate would be to stop human contributions to it - not to allow governments to profit from it. On that note, yeah - we can let the issue die.

LandBruiser's picture
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While we are discussing religion, is anyone familiar with the religion of FSM?
This relegion clearly shows a corelation between pirates and global warming. For a long time there has been a decrease in pirate activity, and an increase in global temps. With the recent upturn in pirate activity (Somalia) temps have plummeted. Some warships arrived in the area which I can only surmise accounts for the 55 degree Saturday we just had here in NH in Dec.
Graph available showing this halfway down this page: http://www.venganza.org/about/open-letter/

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Fingers Crossed

Chase's picture
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81, why are you insulting me? I simply ask for a computer model which shows the supposed other side, and all I get is insulted? Shame on you. Show up to Greasestock next year and I'll buy you a beer.

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2005 VW Golf PD-TDI

Chase's picture
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Quote:
Originally posted by: Tom Yaz
I find it strange you are only looking for a computer "model"..

Broaden your horizons. There is a lot of of hard data out

there to dispute what is ginned up by a program..

Here is a link that talks about the flaws of computer "models"

http://xtronics.com/reference/globalwarming.htm

-------------------------
....all men are created equal, that they are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable rights, that among these are life....
Tom, you keep saying its out there, like Fox Mulder, but all you point to are things that try to poke holes in one side, not prove the other side. I am not interested in attacks on one side or the other, I want the positions to stand on their own merits. Please, as I seem utterly incapable of finding the science from the anti-AGW side, can you link to some?

As for computer models, if what you say about them being ginned up and biased is true, why has the anti-AGW side been incapable of producing a computer model which shows no impact by human activity? I mean, if what you say is true, it should be doable whether its actually true or not. But so far, nothing, as far as Google can produce for me. What gives?

I suddenly feel like I'm chasing Big Foot. Lots of people saying he's out there, a few interesting plaster moulds, some hair samples which were then shown not to be from Big Foot, some people who insult me when I ask pointed questions, but no scientific evidence thus far. Can you feel where I'm coming from on this?

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2005 VW Golf PD-TDI

81SD's picture
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Quote:
Originally posted by: Chase
81, why are you insulting me? I simply ask for a computer model which shows the supposed other side, and all I get is insulted? Shame on you. Show up to Greasestock next year and I'll buy you a beer.

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2005 VW Golf PD-TDI
No insult is intended here, sorry if you took offense. You are looking for proof that something doesn't exist. I'm stating that if you cannot prove it's existence, you'll find that it is even tougher to prove that it doesn't exist. If you want to start off with the assumption that it does exist - you DEFINITELY will have troubles proving that it doesn't exist.

The study of climate change isn't even up to the point of infancy yet. The assumptions that increased CO2 output by man heating up the atmosphere has every bit as much credibility as the inverse pirate to global temperature relationship! Temperatures have been declining for a while now and nobody seems to want to recognize it. Temperatures have varied in greater amounts than we are currently seeing - yet for some reason (probably the taxation aspect), people don't want to admit that it is a bit premature to get hysterical about the unknown.

Thanks for the beer offer, but I'm trying hard to stay below I-10. It gets too cold up there! Maybe if that Global Warming thing works out...! If you get down to the FL beaches sometime, I'll get you a decent beer and tank you up.

Tom Yaz's picture
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Chase,

I think 81SD has summed it up better than I can...Accepting computer program results of a "virtual planet" as "proof" of something that can be contradicted by mere observation of the REAL planet is not good enough for me. Besides,I really dont feel like digging up info to prove a negative, you wouldnt accept it anyway. I know I am not going to change your mind and vice versa.

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....all men are created equal, that they are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable rights, that among these are life....

Chase's picture
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81, fair enough.

Tom, one thing you need to know is that I have a very open mind. All I want is valid information. In my perfect world, believe it or not, we would discover that humans indeed have no impact on the climate. That would free us up to figure out what is changing the climate so fast and possibly engineer some controls.

As for fossil fuel under that scenario, we'd still have to engineer ourselves off of it since it has, or is just about to peak.

For my final word on this, I'll say that my personal opinion, based on the science I've seen so far, is that it will be absolutely proven out that humans do have an impact on global climate and have mildly accelerated a natural warming trend that is being caused by something we are not clear on yet.

-------------------------
2005 VW Golf PD-TDI

81SD's picture
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Quote:
Originally posted by: Tom Yaz
Chase,

I think 81SD has summed it up better than I can...Accepting computer program results of a "virtual planet" as "proof" of something that can be contradicted by mere observation of the REAL planet is not good enough for me. Besides,I really dont feel like digging up info to prove a negative, you wouldnt accept it anyway. I know I am not going to change your mind and vice versa.

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....all men are created equal, that they are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable rights, that among these are life....
The moment the computer model deviates from reality, it demonstrates the fallacy of believing in that model and invalidates it in its current form. Consider all of the computerized gambling/stock attempts - if you could devise a model that accurately predicting the market or even a sporting event, you'd end up with a lot of money by betting on the results. While it is regularly attempted, it's tough to build a significant advantage over "the house" using even the most sophisticated models - and they don't have anywhere near the number of variables that a climate model has.

I'm still all for a domestically produced, renewable fuel though. It just makes sense economically NOT to ship out our money overseas to people that hate us for something we are going to burn anyway! That just seems stupid.

Tom Yaz's picture
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Quote:
Originally posted by: Chase
81, fair enough.

Tom, one thing you need to know is that I have a very open mind. All I want is valid information. In my perfect world, believe it or not, we would discover that humans indeed have no impact on the climate. That would free us up to figure out what is changing the climate so fast and possibly engineer some controls.

As for fossil fuel under that scenario, we'd still have to engineer ourselves off of it since it has, or is just about to peak.

For my final word on this, I'll say that my personal opinion, based on the science I've seen so far, is that it will be absolutely proven out that humans do have an impact on global climate and have mildly accelerated a natural warming trend that is being caused by something we are not clear on yet.

-------------------------
2005 VW Golf PD-TDI
Although I disagree with most of your opinion , I can see you at least are open to consider other possibilites and I can respect that.

From 81SD:
"I'm still all for a domestically produced, renewable fuel though. It just makes sense economically NOT to ship out our money overseas to people that hate us for something we are going to burn anyway! That just seems stupid. "

Agreed!

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....all men are created equal, that they are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable rights, that among these are life....

conspirator's picture
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All computer models deal in the hypothetical. They also are fallible in that they may, or may not take all the variables into consideration, or perhaps even include a variable that shouldn't be considered. In the long run, you can make a computer model come out any way you want to. It doesn't mean squat. Meteorologists can't get next week's weather right, and yet we're expected to swallow projections decades in the future. It's hogwash.

If you want to know what will happen in the future, look to the past. The climate cycles back and forth and has for millenia. It was much warmer during the medeval warm period than it is today (or was in 1998, since global temps have been on the decline since then), and there certainly were no internal combustion engines around then, and a lot fewer people. The geologic record clearly shows that interglacial periods last 10K - 15K years (that's the time between ice ages). If that cycle was disrupted, I'd be looking for a reason for the disruption. But that's not the case. We're right on schedule.

There's plenty of evidence that our climate is actually controlled by..... are you ready for this?...... the sun. Boy, who could believe that? The output of the sun is not a constant. An active sun surface with solar flares and sunspots puts out more energy than a blank one. In Feb of '08, the 4 agencies that monitor global temps (Hadley, NASA's GISS, UAH, RSS) all released updated data showing the same thing. That from Jan '07 to Jan '08 global temps dropped almost 0.75*C, which practically erases the previous century's warming. And the sun has been quiet of late, which correlates almost identically to the change in global temps down here on Earth. The previous 'Little Ice Age', which ended in the mid 1800's corresponded to the Maunder Minimum. I can point you to a set of charts showing Arctic temps since the late 1800's and how they correspond to solar activity. It's almost a perfect match of ups and downs. The same graph of Acrtic temps overlayed with CO2 levels have similar start/end points, but vary widely in the 130 years in between. This in no way proves that CO2 causes the warming, and may even suggest the opposite, that the warming causes CO2 levels to rise. Here's a link: (The charts are at the very end) http://scienceandpublicpolicy.org/images/stories/papers/originals/mclean...

Reports that Antarctic temps have been rising have been based on data from the Antarctic Penninsula, which is only a small portion of the Antarctic. The interior (which is twice the size of the continental US) has been cooling and the ice GROWING for almost 35 years. Look here: http://www.usatoday.com/news/science/cold-science/2002-01-13-antarctic-c... They do try to put the typical AGW spin on it, but hey... what do you expect from USA Today? The fact remains, that the Antarctic interior has been cooling for decades. This is important since this is where 90% of the world's ice is, and it's growing.

81SD is absolutely correct that the study of climate change is in it's infancy. AGW is a theory and remains just that... an unproven theory. What I've laid out above is another theory which I believe is a lot more credible (and certainly is not my own original work). For the record, I'm also all for the three R's.... Reduce, Reuse, Recycle.. for the sake of good stewardship. The 4th R... Renewable is also very desirable. I just 'not under the delusion that I'm saving the world in the process.

All the best.

-------------------------
Ed
2004 Jetta TDI on BioDiesel
2004 Dodge Ram 2500 Cummins 5.9L on BioD
6HP Listeroid gen set
"Talk is cheap because supply
usually exceeds demand."

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81, you are wrong!

computer models work in a vacuum.

consider Big Blue the chess playing computer that accounts for all venerable all in less time than it takes toy to think up your next post.

With that said the models that are needed are based on every varible posible, a deg. here a ml of CO2 there and so on.

Models are not wrong it's what is put into them that may be wrong.

Tom you should know this one, "Garbage in, Garbage out!".

Don't blame tools, blame the user.

The old Cray-1 super computer was strong enough to model the weather for the next 50 years including all variables and then some.

I have not seen enough weather models to say one is worse than another. But as you said all a body needs to do is poke your head outside at the right moment. You will be able to tell that something is amiss.

Did you grow-up in a place that there was snow? Do you remember that there was much more snow when you where a kkkid than now, or colder, or something is different?

I'm not saying that it's man made, or natural, I'm just saying that something is going on and right now. No one seems to have all the right info / data.

Is it not better to do something to try to help? Even if it doesn't change a thing? Or is it better to stay on the path we are on until we have the exact answer you are looking for?

Thank you for greasing! You are helping the cause!

Stay Green!

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hey ghost,

you said you were from bucks county. i live outside philly in delaware county. do you collect your own grease or buy?

also, late adoption of renewable energies will result in far more loss, both ecological AND financial, than if we start changing now.

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Hey mccrea,

I have family property in Bucks Co. PA. we (Father and I) planted the trees 3 years before Grandpa died.

I have been an ex-pat for 3 years now, I collect my own grease It flows freely here in Canada. Tomorrow night the Jr. world cup hockey Canada vs U.S.A.. For the record everyone in my house on Wed. Dec. 31 will be rooting for Team U.S.A.! :)

Back yard farming is good for the environment too. Every tree huger on this site should keep chickens in the backyard (if you have a backyard) as well as plant and can as many veggys as you can each season. Funny thing chicken poop is great for growing vegetables.
Yes I do keep chickens and a small garden, which I can in the early fall.

The movement and packaging of food is a huge issue for the environment too.

81SD's picture
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Quote:
Originally posted by: ghostofadam
81, you are wrong!

computer models work in a vacuum.

consider Big Blue the chess playing computer that accounts for all venerable all in less time than it takes toy to think up your next post.

With that said the models that are needed are based on every varible posible, a deg. here a ml of CO2 there and so on.

Models are not wrong it's what is put into them that may be wrong.

Tom you should know this one, "Garbage in, Garbage out!".

Don't blame tools, blame the user.

The old Cray-1 super computer was strong enough to model the weather for the next 50 years including all variables and then some.

I have not seen enough weather models to say one is worse than another. But as you said all a body needs to do is poke your head outside at the right moment. You will be able to tell that something is amiss.

Did you grow-up in a place that there was snow? Do you remember that there was much more snow when you where a kkkid than now, or colder, or something is different?

I'm not saying that it's man made, or natural, I'm just saying that something is going on and right now. No one seems to have all the right info / data.

Is it not better to do something to try to help? Even if it doesn't change a thing? Or is it better to stay on the path we are on until we have the exact answer you are looking for?

Thank you for greasing! You are helping the cause!

Stay Green!

Exactly - garbage in, garbage out. The computer models are a hypothetical fantasy generated by folks that are desperately looking for funding. Your chess example is not a good one - there are a limited number of pieces, a restricted set of moves and a calculated number of permutations. You don't need a supercomputer to play a decent game of chess.

Now - name all of the components associated with world-wide climate modeling. Take your time - I don't want you to miss any of them as missing any at all would throw everything off and make the results erroneous. Once you get all of the possible components, we'll need to set the range of each of them in order to start coming up with the various permutations of results. I think you'll quickly find that the model is vastly more complex than playing a winning game of chess.

"Computer models work in a vacuum" - exactly. Only in a vacuum, not at all in real life.

I'm outside working on the yard today - it's yet another beautiful winter day in FL. No snow, but I don't know when we've last had snow around here.

As to the "trying to help" bit - what if my personal carbon and methane output is the only thing staving off the next ice age?

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81,
You don't get it.
the chess game is the vacuum. finite number of parts and moments for them.

As far as me setting up the model LOL, I'm not qualified.

when I mentioned cray-1 I was only saying that even back in 1976 the computing power was there to do a full weather model. Now we need to get the data model right. some place in this string some one said something about weather forecasting or modeling being in it's infancy.

Living closer to the equator you will not be experiencing the same effect in the weather that we are seeing here in CA. Well you wont until (if the models are right LOL) your house is under 80 ft' of water. I know it's hard to realize this but FL is not the center of the universe. All weather dose not relay back to FL.

Maybe you running your car on grease is the only thing keeping global warming at bay.

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So as if they were actually listening to us hoi polloi argue, check this out:

2009 warms right up

All snark aside, I say this is the perfect opportunity to really see what is what. Basically, if next December, these people are right, that will prove two things:

1 Computer modeling of the climate has come into its own

2 The past few years of marginal cooling is just a small valley amongst the many peaks and valleys along the inexorable climb higher

If they are wrong, we will know that climate modeling is indeed still in its infancy, and the marginal cooling has continued for one more year.

81, Tom, what do you think, re-convene in 12 months?

-------------------------
2005 VW Golf PD-TDI

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Oh definitely. The source there is quite questionable as they have staked their existence to the Global Warming Hoax. They lose some credibility in their statements of the warmest years happening recently - when the 1930's surpassed much of the recent temperature averages and other sources have referenced this fact. Even with their dubious facts, they admit that 1998 was the warmest and since then it has been cooling off!!! It's getting pretty tough to take them seriously.

We'll see what happens over the next 10 years - but if places like Malibu CA, New Orleans, LA and Houston TX keep getting snow, it'll be tough to listen to this crap without laughing!!!

I particularly like the quote from Dr Myles Allen - I wonder if those Victorian ancestors would have enjoyed the warmth found in Greenland during the Viking settlements there - or if they would have found that time period "scorching" as well.

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Well, if you are already calling them liars, then there's no point in moving forward. But I fail to see how predicting the coming year's average temp, then having it be accurate to within 6/100 of a degree, every year for the past 9 years, is falsifiable. Maybe they have a time machine? (I kid).

Anyways, you seem to state that no matter what the outcome if this is, you'll just dismiss it as part of some global hoax. Correct me if I'm wrong, though.

-------------------------
2005 VW Golf PD-TDI

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Quote:
Originally posted by: Chase
Well, if you are already calling them liars, then there's no point in moving forward. But I fail to see how predicting the coming year's average temp, then having it be accurate to within 6/100 of a degree, every year for the past 9 years, is falsifiable. Maybe they have a time machine? (I kid).

Anyways, you seem to state that no matter what the outcome if this is, you'll just dismiss it as part of some global hoax. Correct me if I'm wrong, though.

-------------------------
2005 VW Golf PD-TDI
I'm stating that any government agency that depends on the affirmation of Global Warming in order to provide continued funding and survival is most likely always going to find evidence to make their case - even if they have to make it up. As to the accuracy of their estimates - all they need to do is to toss out a couple of points of data that conflicts with their estimates and they can boost their accuracy. When they make the predictions and also track the temperature, it's pretty easy for them to fix the results.

I would trust the coal industry's findings more than I would trust a dependent government agency. It'll be tough to come to an understanding unless we can agree to information sources.

So far most of the Global Warming Hoax perpertrators have a serious (financial) vested interest in making their case and cannot produce any real evidence that an increase in carbon dioxide causes an increase in temperature. At best it is circumstantial - hardly enough to jump to conclusions and impose regulations, rules and taxes.

Remember also that the opposing side's argument is NOT that the world is heating up or cooling off - it is purely that the results are not known. Believing that there is an association between human activity and global temperatures is NOT going to make it reality, no matter how hard people believe. Each year the carbon dioxide output levels increase and the average temperature drops puts a big hole in their argument. If you are unable to list all of the factors that are used in the computer models, I wouldn't put much faith in those models. Don't put much faith in NOAA - they've already admitted altering their data to make their case...

Rewriting history to alter the average temperatures doesn't cut it as evidence, no matter how much the Global Warming Hoax crowd wants it to.

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81SD,

Most of us could change "Global warming" in your last post and apply it to "The Iraq War" and write the same statement.

Why are you willing to accept the Bush governments justification of the war in Iraq spending and not the Obama governments justification of Global Warming spending?

Not trying to square off, just wondering what is the motive for the "Anti GW" stance.

The Bush government had a lot more to gain from the war in Iraq than the Obama government has to gain from GW spending.

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81, what evidence do you have that MET is lying, making things up, etc? You see, if you make accusations like this, the burden is solely on you to back it up. Its not for them or anyone else to defend against every seemingly baseless accusation, its for the accuser to produce evidence to back up the accusation. Without backup it is just casting of aspersions, which is inadmissible in the court of sentient human behavior. So back up your accusations against MET and I will most certainly listen.

That aside, this is all about finding out if their computer model is accurate. For 9 years it has been accurate to within 6/100 of a degree. They make the prediction beforehand, and the results are what they are, you cannot argue with them (logically of course).

-------------------------
2005 VW Golf PD-TDI

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Quote:
Originally posted by: ghostofadam
81SD,

Most of us could change "Global warming" in your last post and apply it to "The Iraq War" and write the same statement.

Why are you willing to accept the Bush governments justification of the war in Iraq spending and not the Obama governments justification of Global Warming spending?

Not trying to square off, just wondering what is the motive for the "Anti GW" stance.

The Bush government had a lot more to gain from the war in Iraq than the Obama government has to gain from GW spending.
I've stated before that I would have been happier if we skipped the Iraqi war and simply nuked it out of existence. That would have made them a nice example for the next pissant country that wanted to be annoying.

The Bush Administration lost big on the Iraqi war situation. It ended up being the largest single factor that anyone will remember about his terms. It's GWB's "Monica"!

So far Obama's Administration isn't off the ground yet, it's a little premature to say what he will or will not gain from panicked GW spending. Other countries that are facing budget shortfalls are anxious to use it for their general funds though. As I've stated before - if it is that big of a deal, there should be no getting around it. Folks like Algore that feel it is OK for them to have the largest carbon footprint around and toss some change in a bucket and call it "Carbon Credits" are FOS. It's like - dusting the drapes after you've nuked the tropical paradise... It counts as "cleaning up", but the damage is done.

81SD's picture
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Quote:
Originally posted by: Chase
81, what evidence do you have that MET is lying, making things up, etc? You see, if you make accusations like this, the burden is solely on you to back it up. Its not for them or anyone else to defend against every seemingly baseless accusation, its for the accuser to produce evidence to back up the accusation. Without backup it is just casting of aspersions, which is inadmissible in the court of sentient human behavior. So back up your accusations against MET and I will most certainly listen.

That aside, this is all about finding out if their computer model is accurate. For 9 years it has been accurate to within 6/100 of a degree. They make the prediction beforehand, and the results are what they are, you cannot argue with them (logically of course).

-------------------------
2005 VW Golf PD-TDI
LOL - what evidence do you have that the MET is NOT lying? I produced a link that refutes their claims. You've now got to disprove my link as well as come up with some corraborating evidence for the MET - preferably something that is NOT government funded and where their survival as an entity doesn't hinge on their findings that support human induced Global Warming. So far the MET has nothing backing them other than strong feelings - and that counts for nothing.

Let's look at their models with a basketball analogy. I predict Team A will score 92 points (I do not have to predict Team B's score here). The game starts - and I control the clock. 2 days later, the teams are still playing and lousy Team A finally scores that 92cd point - and I call that the game is over, the clock runs out - and sure enough my prediction is on the money!!! Go figure! That's the same thing going on with the MET - they predict the temperature, then they measure the temperature... Of course their results are going to be pretty damned accurate! They'll lose their funding if it isn't.

A better source for information involves taking temperatures from satellites at given elevations. This data tends NOT to support the Global Warming Hoax, it is not affected by civilization encroachment - in all ways it is a much better way to measure temperature.

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81,

You said "I've stated before that I would have been happier if we skipped the Iraqi war and simply nuked it out of existence. That would have made them a nice example for the next pissant country that wanted to be annoying."

I have it on record you defending the war and the Bush admins handling of the war.

Then you said "The Bush Administration lost big on the Iraqi war situation. It ended up being the largest single factor that anyone will remember about his terms. It's GWB's "Monica"!"

Try the whole cluster F-word that is GWBs presidency. I'm not sure what is the bigger issue The banking industry, Job loss, Off shoring, The Iraq war, The Auto industry, The market slow motion crash, The housing market crash, Oil prices going thru the roof then crashing, The striping of rights i the U. S. and abroad, War crimes / torture, the list keeps getting bigger. (I'm sure that The bush admin is responsible for global warming too but I cant prove it YET!) Hahahaha

It seems that unregulated Free market capitalism dose not work as well as one might thing. You know that whole profit before people thing. Pish-posh Lets chat with the Chinese folks about there new found capitalist free market system. They got Led paint on toys, Melimine in milk and Gluten. But it did boost the profit margin.

Then, "So far Obama's Administration isn't off the ground yet, it's a little premature to say what he will or will not gain from panicked GW spending."

We knew the Bush Cheney gang where right in the middle of profiting from war and oil right from the start but that was ok ? Obama is a Law Proff, and an Constitutional Attorney, I just don't see a lot of profit to be made by spending on clean fuel research, and infrastructure investment.

"Other countries that are facing budget shortfalls are anxious to use it for their general funds though."

You are almost always the first to say "Screw other counties" if brought up in any debate. So I don't know how you care now?

"As I've stated before - if it is that big of a deal, there should be no getting around it. Folks like Algore that feel it is OK for them to have the largest carbon footprint around and toss some change in a bucket and call it "Carbon Credits" are FOS. It's like - dusting the drapes after you've nuked the tropical paradise... It counts as "cleaning up", but the damage is done."

I could not agree with you more! This do as I say and not as I do crap pisses me off to!!

You used "Algore" as opposed to "Al Gore" you know who coined this term? Rush Limbaugh :)

If it's any consolation to you I will tell you who I can not stand!
Tipper Gore she is a puritan idiot in my opinion.

Happy new year.

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Quote:
Originally posted by: ghostofadam
81,

You said "I've stated before that I would have been happier if we skipped the Iraqi war and simply nuked it out of existence. That would have made them a nice example for the next pissant country that wanted to be annoying."

I have it on record you defending the war and the Bush admins handling of the war.

Then you said "The Bush Administration lost big on the Iraqi war situation. It ended up being the largest single factor that anyone will remember about his terms. It's GWB's "Monica"!"

Try the whole cluster F-word that is GWBs presidency. I'm not sure what is the bigger issue The banking industry, Job loss, Off shoring, The Iraq war, The Auto industry, The market slow motion crash, The housing market crash, Oil prices going thru the roof then crashing, The striping of rights i the U. S. and abroad, War crimes / torture, the list keeps getting bigger. (I'm sure that The bush admin is responsible for global warming too but I cant prove it YET!) Hahahaha

It seems that unregulated Free market capitalism dose not work as well as one might thing. You know that whole profit before people thing. Pish-posh Lets chat with the Chinese folks about there new found capitalist free market system. They got Led paint on toys, Melimine in milk and Gluten. But it did boost the profit margin.

Then, "So far Obama's Administration isn't off the ground yet, it's a little premature to say what he will or will not gain from panicked GW spending."

We knew the Bush Cheney gang where right in the middle of profiting from war and oil right from the start but that was ok ? Obama is a Law Proff, and an Constitutional Attorney, I just don't see a lot of profit to be made by spending on clean fuel research, and infrastructure investment.

"Other countries that are facing budget shortfalls are anxious to use it for their general funds though."

You are almost always the first to say "Screw other counties" if brought up in any debate. So I don't know how you care now?

"As I've stated before - if it is that big of a deal, there should be no getting around it. Folks like Algore that feel it is OK for them to have the largest carbon footprint around and toss some change in a bucket and call it "Carbon Credits" are FOS. It's like - dusting the drapes after you've nuked the tropical paradise... It counts as "cleaning up", but the damage is done."

I could not agree with you more! This do as I say and not as I do crap pisses me off to!!

You used "Algore" as opposed to "Al Gore" you know who coined this term? Rush Limbaugh :)

If it's any consolation to you I will tell you who I can not stand!
Tipper Gore she is a puritan idiot in my opinion.

Happy new year.

I think you'll find me saying that I didn't think it was a good idea to surrender in Iraq, but going in wasn't the best way to handle it.

Nice try on the GWB blame game, but the seeds of disaster were sown long before he got in. You can pin Iraq on him, but the rest of the BS is pathetic whining on your part. The bailout packages can be pinned on him as well lately - they have been particularly damaging in the long run.

As to war crimes and torture - the enemy combatants are terrorists and the more agony they can be forced to endure before they die, the better. I'd happily help out if I could.

Regulated free market capitalism should involve making sure that the products are as advertised - not what the Chinese practice or what the US is heading towards. I should NOT sell you bat-spit and tell you that it is wine - but if you buy it as bat-spit, you should be able to buy as much as you care to at whatever price you and I negotiate.

Half of the Democrats are also war profiteers - so don't get to wild on your accusations there. Cheney and Bush had to put their investments into blind trusts - and liquidate areas that were questionable. Not so with the spouses of our Democratic leaders!

Other countries that are facing budg

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All righty then,,

Why must you use words like "pathetic" in something that was going so well?

I think what you have to say is "Pathetic" like right from the mouth of Rush as I have always said about you.

But I thought things where going well, so I tried not to use argumentive words or personal attacks you managed to use an argumentative word in a personal attack.

you have no intent to debate here you are just playing the spoiler/troll who craps on any opinion that differs from Rush.

As for the Pathetic blame on GW / Cheney, you tell me who takes the blame for NAFTA? I know you have a hard on for the Clintons but NAFTA was a done deal by the time Willy took office.

The list I made is stuff that happened while Georgie was in office he owns it.

As for free market either you want it free or you want it regulated. Who do you think you are getting to pick and choose, or dictate rules.

As for your support of the Iraq war I'll see what I can dig up. I'm sure you have said on more than one occasion that "it was the right thing to do".

Not everybody picked up and sent to git-mo or abu ghraib is or was a terrorist before being picked up. I'm sure that a few might have become terrorists since being picked up and tortured by the U. S.

Human Right are important to everyone! even you.

I guess you have had a lot of disappointment lately lousing the election and your party in shambles possibly being led by a woman stupider than the Barbie she tries to resemble.

Please Stop Taking it out on us and embrace the change.

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Quote:
Originally posted by: ghostofadam
All righty then,,

Why must you use words like "pathetic" in something that was going so well?

I think what you have to say is "Pathetic" like right from the mouth of Rush as I have always said about you.

But I thought things where going well, so I tried not to use argumentive words or personal attacks you managed to use an argumentative word in a personal attack.

you have no intent to debate here you are just playing the spoiler/troll who craps on any opinion that differs from Rush.

As for the Pathetic blame on GW / Cheney, you tell me who takes the blame for NAFTA? I know you have a hard on for the Clintons but NAFTA was a done deal by the time Willy took office.

The list I made is stuff that happened while Georgie was in office he owns it.

As for free market either you want it free or you want it regulated. Who do you think you are getting to pick and choose, or dictate rules.

As for your support of the Iraq war I'll see what I can dig up. I'm sure you have said on more than one occasion that "it was the right thing to do".

Not everybody picked up and sent to git-mo or abu ghraib is or was a terrorist before being picked up. I'm sure that a few might have become terrorists since being picked up and tortured by the U. S.

Human Right are important to everyone! even you.

I guess you have had a lot of disappointment lately lousing the election and your party in shambles possibly being led by a woman stupider than the Barbie she tries to resemble.

Please Stop Taking it out on us and embrace the change.
A lot of people like to try to GWB for the sun rising, setting - and everything in between. It's called "Bush Derangement Syndrome" - and it is nothing but pathetic whining no matter who it comes from. Please don't fall into that behavior. There's plenty to blame him for without making crap up. Your list is nothing but dementia in action - stick to facts or settle for no credibility.

NAFTA was a bad idea by many politicians. No sense blaming any one of them for it - all of them are guilty. Who signed NAFTA into law? He was just the last link in the chain - he could have vetoed it, but chose not to.

Try looking for my Iraqi war support - I've long stated that our military is a defensive force, not a mercernary force. Kuwait wasn't a state - so our military should not be used to defend them. I've also stated that war is a horrible thing that should not be taken lightly - and that when we go to war we should kill everything alive, burn anything standing - and lay waste to the land until unconditional surrender from the enemy is given. No truce, no mercy - it's unconditional surrender or extinction. All citizens are valid targets - the government collects funding from their taxes and recruits their military from the population. Nothing at all like our "meals on camels" program our troops have been stuck with.

Stupider? LOL! That's not wise coming from someone who is self-confessed to be "not right in the head", isn't it? Which party is in shambles? Which one isn't? Both major parties in this country are a mess and with any luck they will both start losing seats and power. As far as I can tell, American politics is in the toilet, there are precious few politicians that shouldn't be taken out and beheaded. Seldom have the French done anything right - but they did have the right idea there!

Human rights only apply to humans. Terrorist scum is subhuman and they should be shown nothing but pain and misery until they are dead. Desecration after that.

There will be plenty of disappointment for everyone as our economy keeps crumbling. Your retirement funds have been severely depleted - some by market losses, the rest by currency devaluation. Embrace that! I was able to escape the market losses by changing my 401K allotments and pulling my cash out of the market before the crash happened, but that didn't save me from the currency devaluation that i

Tom Yaz's picture
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Ghost,

This thread is about GW, not GWB...

-------------------------
....all men are created equal, that they are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable rights, that among these are life....

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Quote:
Originally posted by: Tom Yaz
Ghost,

This thread is about GW, not GWB...

-------------------------
....all men are created equal, that they are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable rights, that among these are life....
Tom,

You might want to direct that comment towards both Ghost and 81, dontcha think?

BTW, what do you think of the MET modeling, their 9 year track record, and their forecast for 09?

-------------------------
2005 VW Golf PD-TDI

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Quote:
Originally posted by: 81SD
Quote:
Originally posted by: Chase
81, what evidence do you have that MET is lying, making things up, etc? You see, if you make accusations like this, the burden is solely on you to back it up. Its not for them or anyone else to defend against every seemingly baseless accusation, its for the accuser to produce evidence to back up the accusation. Without backup it is just casting of aspersions, which is inadmissible in the court of sentient human behavior. So back up your accusations against MET and I will most certainly listen.

That aside, this is all about finding out if their computer model is accurate. For 9 years it has been accurate to within 6/100 of a degree. They make the prediction beforehand, and the results are what they are, you cannot argue with them (logically of course).

-------------------------
2005 VW Golf PD-TDI
LOL - what evidence do you have that the MET is NOT lying? I produced a link that refutes their claims. You've now got to disprove my link as well as come up with some corraborating evidence for the MET - preferably something that is NOT government funded and where their survival as an entity doesn't hinge on their findings that support human induced Global Warming. So far the MET has nothing backing them other than strong feelings - and that counts for nothing.

Let's look at their models with a basketball analogy. I predict Team A will score 92 points (I do not have to predict Team B's score here). The game starts - and I control the clock. 2 days later, the teams are still playing and lousy Team A finally scores that 92cd point - and I call that the game is over, the clock runs out - and sure enough my prediction is on the money!!! Go figure! That's the same thing going on with the MET - they predict the temperature, then they measure the temperature... Of course their results are going to be pretty damned accurate! They'll lose their funding if it isn't.

A better source for information involves taking temperatures from satellites at given elevations. This data tends NOT to support the Global Warming Hoax, it is not affected by civilization encroachment - in all ways it is a much better way to measure temperature.
81,

First, your link had no tie to MET in any way, shape, or form. What gives? As of now, you are continuing to accuse MET of being liars and co conspirators in a global hoax, but have put forth nothing to back that up. This is massively poor form, man. Come on, back up your accusations against MET, or retract them.

But as for your 1934 thing, sorry, again you've been duped by the media:

http://mediamatters.org/items/200708120001

"Summary: On Special Report, Jim Angle reported that NASA was forced "to admit it was wrong when it said that 1998 was the hottest year on record" and that NASA "now says 1934 was the hottest year, followed by 1998, then 1921." But Angle did not inform viewers that NASA's revision affected annual temperature rankings for the United States only; it had no effect on the annual global temperature rankings."

Here's a suggestion: every time you read something about the supposed AGW hoax that is even mildly hyperbole, do a little Google to see what's what. Google has saved me from embarrassment many a time.

-------------------------
2005 VW Golf PD-TDI

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I directed it at Ghost only because he was the first to bring it
up via the Iraq war remark..(correct me if I am wrong)

As for MET, I have no opinion one way or the other..havent looked it to it..I am doing my year end books for my business these last few days and really dont have the time right now..

-------------------------
....all men are created equal, that they are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable rights, that among these are life....

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Quote:
Originally posted by: Chase
Quote:
Originally posted by: 81SD
Quote:
Originally posted by: Chase
81, what evidence do you have that MET is lying, making things up, etc? You see, if you make accusations like this, the burden is solely on you to back it up. Its not for them or anyone else to defend against every seemingly baseless accusation, its for the accuser to produce evidence to back up the accusation. Without backup it is just casting of aspersions, which is inadmissible in the court of sentient human behavior. So back up your accusations against MET and I will most certainly listen.

That aside, this is all about finding out if their computer model is accurate. For 9 years it has been accurate to within 6/100 of a degree. They make the prediction beforehand, and the results are what they are, you cannot argue with them (logically of course).

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2005 VW Golf PD-TDI
LOL - what evidence do you have that the MET is NOT lying? I produced a link that refutes their claims. You've now got to disprove my link as well as come up with some corraborating evidence for the MET - preferably something that is NOT government funded and where their survival as an entity doesn't hinge on their findings that support human induced Global Warming. So far the MET has nothing backing them other than strong feelings - and that counts for nothing.

Let's look at their models with a basketball analogy. I predict Team A will score 92 points (I do not have to predict Team B's score here). The game starts - and I control the clock. 2 days later, the teams are still playing and lousy Team A finally scores that 92cd point - and I call that the game is over, the clock runs out - and sure enough my prediction is on the money!!! Go figure! That's the same thing going on with the MET - they predict the temperature, then they measure the temperature... Of course their results are going to be pretty damned accurate! They'll lose their funding if it isn't.

A better source for information involves taking temperatures from satellites at given elevations. This data tends NOT to support the Global Warming Hoax, it is not affected by civilization encroachment - in all ways it is a much better way to measure temperature.
81,

First, your link had no tie to MET in any way, shape, or form. What gives? As of now, you are continuing to accuse MET of being liars and co conspirators in a global hoax, but have put forth nothing to back that up. This is massively poor form, man. Come on, back up your accusations against MET, or retract them.

But as for your 1934 thing, sorry, again you've been duped by the media:

http://mediamatters.org/items/200708120001

"Summary: On Special Report, Jim Angle reported that NASA was forced "to admit it was wrong when it said that 1998 was the hottest year on record" and that NASA "now says 1934 was the hottest year, followed by 1998, then 1921." But Angle did not inform viewers that NASA's revision affected annual temperature rankings for the United States only; it had no effect on the annual global temperature rankings."

Here's a suggestion: every time you read something about the supposed AGW hoax that is even mildly hyperbole, do a little Google to see what's what. Google has saved me from embarrassment many a time.

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2005 VW Golf PD-TDI
I see no need to put in a link with any tie to the MET - it's purely about the data. If they publish false data and make erroneous projections based on it, there is no additional proof of lying needed. Yeah - they are lying their asses off to save their jobs.

Your statement about global temperates vs US temperatures does NOT include any real data at all, just the assumption that Fox News is wrong about whatever they state and that the

Chase's picture
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Joined: 05/27/2004

Man, you are awesome. I mean seriously, awesome. You get an A+ for unbending consistency and dedication to your position, I really mean that.

Anyway, I think I've accomplished what I set out to do. There's always gotta be one I guess. But then, what fun would it be if there weren't? ;)

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2005 VW Golf PD-TDI

81SD's picture
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Joined: 11/18/2004

Quote:
Originally posted by: Chase
Man, you are awesome. I mean seriously, awesome. You get an A+ for unbending consistency and dedication to your position, I really mean that.

Anyway, I think I've accomplished what I set out to do. There's always gotta be one I guess. But then, what fun would it be if there weren't? ;)

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2005 VW Golf PD-TDI
But are you any different? Other than having an opposed viewpoint, you are completely relentless in your own dedication to your position. You're putting faith in people with an extreme bias and not questioning their preaching. Did you read through any of the sites that I provided? Can you refute any of them with facts?

If anything, I see your position as less tenable. You are drawing conclusions based on "bad science" and most likely bad data. I'm stating that the data is questionable and the conclusions don't match the real-life evidence as of yet. The data needs to be absolutely accurate or the conclusions can be completely opposite of the reality. When multiple data collection sites cannot come up with similar findings, there are problems that need to be addressed before any knee-jerk reaction should take place.

It'll be far less embarrassing for your position if you start with doubt and work towards certainty. If you start with certainty, you've stepped into faith and your belief becomes a religion. Science doesn't work that way.

You'll make a lousy juror if your mind is made up on circumstantial evidence alone. It's one thing to have an open mind about an issue, but it needs to be open to ALL information. If you've already made up your mind and only care to listen to one side, it's not much of an open mind...